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UK International Passengers; London Focus
International departures from the UK in the month of May were down by just a little over eight percentage points. From London to all destinations they were down by (7.5%)
UK Data Summary
  No May Airports Change % Expected %
  21 (8.1%) (7.7%)
London departures obviously dominate. In May they accounted for 72% of total traffic; a proportion which is inflated because some of the more important regional airports, along with a compensating London City, have yet to announce how they fared in the latest month
At the total passenger level UK internationals were obviously worse than in April but so much better than they were in the darkest days of February and March. However, the May numbers contradict foolish predictions about an end to traffic difficulties. Anecdotally, the difficulties aired publicly by British Airways management would tend to suggest that the airline's forward booking situation is not encouraging.
The Last 13 Months; UK Departures from Airports with May Data
% change
2008 May 2.0
2008 Jun -0.4
2008 Jul -0.6
2008 Aug -0.2
2008 Sep -4.2
2008 Oct -5.6
2008 Nov -7.3
2008 Dec -6.6
2009 Jan -2.6
2009 Feb -13.8
2009 Mar -13.7
2009 Apr -2.8
2009 May -8.7
The Last 13 Months; Departures from London Airports
% change
2008 May 1.6
2008 Jun -0.5
2008 Jul -0.7
2008 Aug -0.6
2008 Sep -3.8
2008 Oct -5.2
2008 Nov -7.7
2008 Dec -6.4
2009 Jan -5.6
2009 Feb -12.8
2009 Mar -12.4
2009 Apr -2.0
2009 May -7.7
With the omission of London City, the (7.5%) traffic reduction recorded for May is broadly in line with the results from the last Quarter of 2008. There is no doubt that the premium end of the international business has been badly hit. But it is also true that the LCC segment is also affected out of London. Stansted makes the case; its internationals were down (18.3%) in the month.
Destination Countries
There is no good news within the leading destination countries:
◊ Spain was the largest destination in May and it was down (13.1%)
◊ the USA fell by (9.3%)
◊ Germany was down by (10.5%)
◊ the decrease in Ireland was almost (14%) points.
The result is that the country destination forecasts are further reduced as a result of this latest data input. There is talk of recovery and unemployment rises.
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