Air4casts has been producing expert analysis alongside our core data provision for more than a decade.
Our Approach
With the largest databases of this kind in the sector, updated daily, we have a unique opportunity to bring up-to-the-minute insights on every aspect of air travel.
Our Mission
Newscast aims to be the first stop for anyone looking for on the pulse commentary and analysis and to be there for anyone with an interest in travel data.
Latest Posts
2025 March Traffic Tracker
Welcome to the Air4casts Traffic Tracker, a monthly update on the latest air passenger data actuals gathered exclusively by Air4casts and Airports Cou.....
May 2025 Forecast Update
President Trump and his tariffs are blamed for much.Most recently and in the European national press, which really should have known better, he has be.....
Fact Check
May 2025 Forecast Update
President Trump and his tariffs are blamed for much.Most recently and in the European national press, which really should have known better, he has be.....
Are We All Trumpians Now? Massive UK Airport Expansion Signalled
An administration with a public commitment to growth, and still struggling to find its feet, has announced support for: - the mythical third runw.....
Year of the Dragon Breaks all Hainan Records
The best Chinese New Year since records began is the message from Hainan’s biggest airport, Haikou Meilan. Passenger numbers at the airport this.....
The Unstoppable American Traveller
Spare a Thought for Delta’s Ed Bastian.
He has clearly not been reading his Travel Retail press.
The CEO of Delta Airlines gives.....
One Week, Two Press Releases, A Single Theme
The first from ACI in raises doubts about the strength of the recovery in Asia/Pacific pointing to high ticket rises as an impediment to growth. The s.....
Middle East Beats 2019
Airports Council International recently went public with some thoughts about the problems besetting the industry. For readers not familiar with ACI it.....
The China International Recovery; January Latest
The recovery is happening but is best described as restrained.
Departing Flights to Sunday 22 January
The latest data for internatio.....
Great News for Hainan Island as Air Passengers Increase Dramatically
Since the latest bout of Covid cases on Hainan Island weekly air passenger arrivals had been in steep decline. The picture for the last 7 days h.....
February Air Traffic Review
1150 Airports have now declared their total passenger numbers for the month of February. All data comes from the Air4casts Traffic Control module.
.....
Top 2021 China Domestic Airport Rankings
With so much focus in Travel Retail on the domestic airports in China, Air4casts’ Chart of the Day lists the top 20 airports in mainland China r.....
Omicron Flight Cancellations: Apparent or Real?
Over the holiday period there was a surge in breathless press reports, many of them beginning in the USA, pointing to a an unprecedented level of flig.....
The Risks of Using Inflated Travel Data
Today’s Air4casts Recovery Briefing video looks at the importance of the weekly and monthly passenger actuals that come direct from the airp.....
Covid Plays Havoc with Airport Rankings
Today’s Air4casts bulletin assesses the July air passenger performance of the world’s two largest economies.
All data comes direct from.....
Asia/Pacific Travel Outlook
Today's Air4casts Recovery Briefing video looks at the Asia/Pacific region.
Jane Robinson presents the latest data from Hainan Island, includin.....
The Hainan Misconception
It is sometimes assumed by Travel Retail executives that the bulk of visitors to Hainan Island arrive by air. This is a misconception.
Hain.....
The Coronavirus and International Air Travel
Today’s Air4casts analysis examines the possible impact of the Coronavirus using the evidence of the effects of previous and similar viral o.....
Traffic
2025 March Traffic Tracker
Welcome to the Air4casts Traffic Tracker, a monthly update on the latest air passenger data actuals gathered exclusively by Air4casts and Airports Cou.....
May 2025 Forecast Update
President Trump and his tariffs are blamed for much.Most recently and in the European national press, which really should have known better, he has be.....
DFNI x Air4casts Traffic Tracker: February passengers
Click here to read Air4casts' latest collaboration with DFNI on the global Travel Tracker service.Or you can read on below.Welcome to the DFNI x Air4c.....
April 2025 Forecast Update
The forecast update, uploaded for clients today, makes no explicit reference to the possible travel effects of increasing trade tariffs on manufacture.....
DFNI x Air4casts Traffic Tracker records all-time January high
Click here to read Air4casts' latest collaboration with DFNI on South Korea's visitor profile.Or you can read on below.Together the 1150 airports that.....
Tears Before Bedtime
On Feb 11 Tui reported a slowdown in European bookings which was enough to drive its share price down by 11% points. The Company's rationale cont.....
DFNI Exclusive: Traffic Tracker
Click here to read Air4casts' latest collaboration with DFNI on the traffic data for December 2024.Alternatively you can read on below.Welcome to the .....
February 2025 Forecast Update
January has delivered some impressive international performances: In the Asia/Pacific top ten:year on year growth rated varied between 5% and 44%.....
DFNI Exclusive: Chinese New Year domestic travel set to break all records
Click here to read the full article on DFNI.Alternatively, you can read on below.The latest edition of the Traveller Insights Series, produced exclusi.....
DFNI Exclusive: The Luxury Indian Traveller
Click here to read our exclusive article with DFNI on the Luxury Indian Traveller.Alternatively you can read on below.As we celebrate Diwali season, i.....
DFNI Exclusive: The Rise and Rise of the American Traveller
Click here to read our exclusive article with DFNI on the American traveller.Alternatively you can read on below.One of the most important travel reco.....
October Forecast Update: Looking to the Future
The latest forecast uploaded to clients' servers today are broadly in line with the outlook generated a month ago. In summary and for the full ye.....
Avoid the Travel Retail Guessing Game - Real Time Traffic Data Updated Daily
A unique co-operation between ACI and Air4casts provides authentic access to the actual traffic data for international, domestic and total passengers .....
India; Caution Would not go Amiss
Indian international passenger numbers in July, recorded not estimated from the country's 26 international airports, were 8.2% up on 2023 and 10.4% ah.....
China Airports; Appreciably Better in July
After the disappointments of May and June the July results for China's international airports make much better reading. International Passengers .....
July Forecast Update: an Asia/Pacific Recovery?
In the latest forecast update now available to subscribers there will necessarily be the same subscriber focus on events and developments in the Asia/.....
Last Look at May Passenger Traffic
Today we report on the major airports worldwide that have declared their international passenger numbers for the month of May.
.....
May Traffic in Asia and Europe: A Tale of Two Continents
With May passenger actuals on the system from almost 600 airports globally today’s Air4casts traffic bulletin focuses on the two key regions of .....
May Forecast Update
Two features are important in this most recent forecast update which has been uploaded for clients today.
The 2019 Recovery Benchmark
.....
Europe's Two Speed Recovery
With the majority of Europe’s international airports already reporting March passenger numbers their collective performance compared with M.....
Almost There - South Korea Hits 96% of 2019
With South Korea’s March airport passenger actuals already uploaded for clients in the daily updated Airports 1500 module, today’s Air4cas.....
Forecast Update: March 2024
The latest forecasts have today been uploaded to client sites.
The Chinese appetite for domestic travel over the Lunar New Year holiday has hit a n.....
India's Sparkling January Performance
All of India’s airports have now declared their January passenger actuals and the results are excellent.
Domestic air travel in January was 4.....
Majority of January Airports ahead of 2019
626 January airports are already on the Air4casts system with their passenger actuals from last month. With over half of them posting results ahead of.....
A Tale of Two Cities
A Tale of Two Cities...
...and two major international airports which back in 2019 found themselves at opposite ends of the world’s top 20.
.....
Year of the Dragon Breaks all Hainan Records
The best Chinese New Year since records began is the message from Hainan’s biggest airport, Haikou Meilan. Passenger numbers at the airport this.....
December Traffic: Mixed Messages at the Close of the Year
The Air4casts data service focuses on December data from the airlines and airports.
Ryanair and Wizz Air Surge Ahead of 2019
.....
Forecast Update: December 2023
The December forecast revision contains some elements of note relating, for the most part, to the immediate outlook for international passengers which.....
The Wealthy Chinese and the Chinese Middle Class
The Luxury Shopper Module, previewed here for Cannes 2023, charts the High Net Worth Individuals in China and beyond.
The Wealthy
10.5.....
The September Forecast Predictions
There remain two areas of uncertainty in the forecast revisions which have been uploaded today.
What is Happening in China
The rate of.....
Forecast Update May 2023
The pace of recovery, and especially in Asia/Pacific, is certainly accelerating as the forecast to forecast comparison indicates:
â�.....
Almost 200 March Airports Beat 2019
With March 2023 passenger actuals from over 600 airports already declared, today’s traffic bulletin looks at how they performed against 2019, wi.....
Chart of the Day: Athens Record Breaking March
The first of the big European airports to publish their March PAX actuals, Athens, is comfortably ahead of March 2019.
International passeng.....
Middle East Beats 2019
Airports Council International recently went public with some thoughts about the problems besetting the industry. For readers not familiar with ACI it.....
Chart of the Day - The Rise and Rise of Ryanair
Ryanair carried 14% more passengers in February 2023 than it did in February 2019, making this February its highest February on record in passenger vo.....
Asia/Pacific Leaps Ahead in February
With February PAX actuals from 700 global airports now on the Air4casts reporting system, today’s traffic bulletin highlights results from the b.....
Forecast Update March 2023
This month’s forecast revision indicates an acceleration in the rates of recovery when compared with the outlook produced a month ago.
.....
Macau Bounces Back with a Roar
A dramatic reversal of fortune took place in Macau in January.
Visitors from the Chinese mainland more than tripled compared with .....
Latin American Airports Smash 2019 Results
833 airports have so far declared their January 2023 passenger actuals and together they cover 85% of expected global traffic for the month.
.....
Spectacular January Airport Results
With January 2023 passenger actuals from 480 airports already declared, today’s traffic bulletin analyses performance compared to January 2019.
.....
Forecast Update February 2023
Today’s update, and looking primarily at the full year 2024, is hardly different from the projections developed a month ago and when those proje.....
The China International Recovery; January Latest
The recovery is happening but is best described as restrained.
Departing Flights to Sunday 22 January
The latest data for internatio.....
Hainan Year of the Rabbit Travel Just 13% Below 2019…and Catching up Fast
Last week’s data from Hainan’s biggest airport show passenger numbers soaring past half a million in the crucial run-up to Chinese New Yea.....
China’s Domestic Travel Takes Off
What a difference a week makes. While international air travel out of China has remained quiet since the 8th January Covid rules relaxation, dom.....
2023 China Passenger Forecast
The first of the monthly updated 2023 forecast sets has today been uploaded to client sites.
CHINA FOCUS
Necessarily a focus of interest.....
2023 International Passenger Forecast
There is growing excitement about the prospects for an accelerated recovery in Asia/Pacific international traffic.
In the case of Hong Ko.....
Changes in China Policy: Daily International Flights
Continuing this week’s Air4casts is reporting on five important traffic indicators with the third in the series:
Daily Domestic Travel - Read.....
Changes in China Policy: Hong Kong Flight Schedules
This week Air4casts is reporting on five important traffic indicators:
#1 to Watch; Daily Domestic Travel - Yesterday
#2 to Watch; Hong Kong Flight .....
Changes in China Policy; Watch Out for Five Indicators
For the next four days Air4casts will be exploring five important traffic indicators which, taken together and separately, may be interpreted as indic.....
Two October Setbacks for Travel Retail
The last lingering hope that the Communist Party of China might, in the foreseeable future, move towards a more liberal travel policy for its citizens.....
Air Passenger Forecasts Q4 2022 into Q1 2023
Air4casts is uploading its regular monthly re-forecast for 1500 airports and two questions dominate the short-term:
Question 1: What effe.....
Hong Kong Gears Up for Travel Surge
With mandatory hotel quarantine for arrivals to Hong Kong now a thing of the past today’s Air4casts bulletin examines the fast moving changes to.....
Is China on the Rebound?
Data, published Friday last, produces some very welcome positives.
Daily Flights
- end September numbers show flight departure.....
Japan’s Changing Airport Nationality Mix
From 11 October foreign tourists will again be able to visit Japan without a visa and without using a travel agency. Today’s Air4casts bulletin .....
August Fast Track European Airports
As of 13 September 140 European airports have already declared their August international PAX numbers. Clients can access them in the Airports 1500 mo.....
Forecast Update September 2022
The latest September forecast updates have now been uploaded to client sites. Forecast to forecast there are changes, subtle for some airports and in .....
The Global Recovery: International Passengers
August data confirms the slowdown in the post Covid recovery:
✓ internationals started the year on just 39% of 2019
✓.....
China’s Domestic Air Traffic Down 40%
After an encouraging July upswing in domestic air travel on mainland China, August proved problematical.
Once again the Chinese governmen.....
Forecast Update August 2022
The latest monthly forecasts have today been uploaded to client sites.
Europe and North America This Year and Next
The rate of recover.....
Singapore Hits 50% of 2019 in June
With 1000 airports already on the Air4casts system with June PAX actuals today’s traffic bulletin focuses on the international air travel recove.....
July Forecast Review
This forecast, for both 2022 and 2023, is below the projection generated a month ago. Of itself this is of importance but perhaps of more importance i.....
China Domestics: Good Weekend News
Domestic flight departures this weekend brought more welcome news for China watchers:
✓ Sunday departures jumped by a thousand da.....
Asia/Pacific: May Internationals
For the 22 countries in Asia/Pacific, May international airport passenger numbers are:
✓ 22% up on April, but still only
✓.....
China’s June Revival
After 3 months of rapid decline China’s domestic air travel market is beginning to emerge from its lockdown induced torpor.
Daily d.....
June Forecast Update
Subscriber interest this month is likely to be focused on airports in the Western Hemisphere since there is an inevitable acceptance among subscribers.....
May Forecast Update: Data and Expectations
With the March actuals from 1150 airports now available, a clear view of April will be available by the middle of this month although complete results.....
Which Way China Travel?
A week is a long time in the China domestic travel business.
In the week before Labour Day holiday it seemed entirely possible that in the week fol.....
Asia/Pacific; Internationals in March
International actuals in March brought good news.
Air4casts is presenting the results for 24 countries in the region covering 146 international air.....
March Traffic Update
Today Air4casts has March departure and arrival data for 557 airports across the six regions. Taking international and domestic passengers together th.....
February Air Traffic Review
1150 Airports have now declared their total passenger numbers for the month of February. All data comes from the Air4casts Traffic Control module.
.....
Forecast Update April 2022
Today’s upload of the latest forecast updates is, in global terms, little different from the view taken just a month ago.
There are differences.....
Air4casts iPhone App Update
Download the latest version of the Air4casts iPhone app today! The Air4casts Infographics Premium app has just been updated with beautiful.....
Chinese Domestics in Freefall
No China watcher can have missed the recent and rapid rise in Covid cases: 5280 at the March 15 count.
&.....
Forecast Update March 2022
The latest monthly forecasts for almost 1600 global airports and 200 travelling nationalities have today been uploaded to client sites.
Notwithstan.....
Omicron hits January Internationals
There are today over 600 airports on the Air4casts system with passenger actuals for January 2022.
Of those 446 have declared their inter.....
Forecast Update February 2022
The latest forecast revisions have been uploaded to subscribers’ websites.
The initial fears which were Omicron have receded th.....
Singapore in December; Traffic Doubles
The latest Singapore actuals for the month of December are recently to hand.
They show:
✓ an increase of 107% on November and
â�.....
Recovery USA: International Focus
December data, available through Air4casts, for 175 international airports in the USA shows passenger levels at 63% of the 2019 level.
Th.....
Forecast Update; International Focus January 2022
A goodly proportion of subscribers have, of late and quite understandably, been pre-occupied by the possible downside effects of the Omicron variant.
.....
US December Surge in Internationals
December reporting from 168 international airports in the USA reveals:
✓ a 22% point traffic increase over the previous month whi.....
US International Traffic: Solid November Progress from 177 Airports
Departures and arrivals for the month of November were up by over 14% points compared with Octoberand it is this strength of travel demand which is fu.....
A Week is a Long Time in the Travel Business
There is a tiny body of executives within the the subscriber community which is exercised by changes to the forecasts. Perhaps missing the point that .....
Dubai Airport Races to Second Place Globally
Over 1000 airports with October PAX actuals are now on the Air4casts system. Today’s bulletin focuses on the top global international airports.
.....
Dubai Posts Highest PAX Numbers in 18 Months
In an encouraging sign of the gathering pace of recovery Dubai airport’s September PAX were the highest since the start of the pandemic.
&nbs.....
Chinese Domestic Travellers: The September Data
It is welcome news that the sector has recovered strongly in September after a disastrous August.
Sign up here for one of Air4casts’ pe.....
China Domestics; Reporting the last 7 days
The number of passengers departing Chinese airports on domestic flights in the last seven days was down on the week before.
As importan.....
Forecast Update October 2021
The Major Change: Europe
The European recovery is now well under way and the changes in this forecast set, compared with that developed just a mont.....
Europe’s Holiday Airports Shine in August
With over 600 airports already reporting their August PAX data, today’s Air4casts’ bulletin looks at the progress being made at European h.....
Global June/July Growth Hits 44%
Today’s Air4casts bulletin examines the July on June international air passenger growth in the context of the seasonal uplift over each of the p.....
Haikou Meilan Update
This week’s Hainan report has been updated with the Haikou Meilan airport passenger data for the week ended Wednesday 18 August 2021.
.....
Rapidly Accelerating Improvement in International Travel
With 250 airports already on the Air4casts system with their full July PAX numbers, today’s Air4casts bulletin looks at the rapidly accelera.....
Latest August Forecast Update
The latest monthly forecasts for airports, terminals, nationalities, routes and airlines have today been uploaded to client sites. Read on for the.....
Spain and Turkey Lead Summer Rebound
Yesterday’s international flight departure data confirms, if confirmation is required, the strength of the European recovery.
It is, .....
Forecast Revisions; July Update to 2025
There are brighter spots in the international sector. There is also continued development in domestic travel but there are, without doubt, at leas.....
Brightening Skies for May Internationals
International airports declaring for June, and today there are 161 of them, are indicating departures and arrivals up 23% on last month:
While .....
Top Departure Terminals in June
Air4casts examines the top terminals in June for both international and domestic passenger departures.
Throughout the pandemic there have b.....
Domestic Passenger Forecast; June Update
Air4casts examines the top terminals in June for both international and domestic passenger departures.
Throughout the pandemic there have b.....
April Actuals Encouragingly Ahead of March
Almost 550 airports from around the world have reported their latest actuals for the month of April.
In the key Trave.....
US Internationals Strongly Ahead in April
The 162 US airports reporting their April international traffic numbers are showing an increase in numbers of almost 18% points compared wit.....
March Latest Actuals
Air4casts has, to date, recorded March passenger actuals from 550 airports around the world which, for the moment is dominated by China whose mass.....
March Internationals on the Up
Today’s Air4casts bulletin looks at March international departures from the world’s largest airports.
Airport actuals are uploa.....
Americans Flock to Cancun in March
While the international air travel markets of Asia/Pacific and Europe continued to struggle last month, American citizens increased their March ov.....
The December Spurt and its Significance for 2021
While Q1 of this year will be, in all but a very few areas disappointing to say the least, the December record for international air passengers of.....
Chinese Airports Turn the Rankings Tables
Updated today with new results from China, this Air4casts bulletin analyses the global airport passenger traffic rankings for the first ten months.....
Covid-19: Travel Restrictions are Largely Ineffective
It is perhaps a little unlikely that many subscribers will be attentive readers of the “Lancet”: the world’ leading medical jour.....
Good News from the USA
From the 150 airports who have already declared their international passenger data for the month of November there is:
✓ undoub.....
Air Travel Trends in 2021
The answers to just two simple questions will say it all:
✓ how strong will any recovery be next year and
✓ under what c.....
Middle East October Latest: Strong Growth
Internationals in October: flight data which is available for the first three weeks of the month, indicates a 22% point September to October increase .....
Asia/Pacific - Good News from India in the October Internationals
Daily international flight departures for the first two weeks in October show really encouraging increases for India:
✓ for the.....
US International Air Departures on the Rise Again
September international air passenger traffic from every US airport is now available to Air4casts and it is showing the lowest rate of decline since t.....
Covid Plays Havoc with Airport Rankings
Today’s Air4casts bulletin assesses the July air passenger performance of the world’s two largest economies.
All data comes direct from.....
Europe in September
A slowdown is entirely to be expected as passenger numbers signal the end of the summer season.
In a normal year the movement from August t.....
The Hainan Misconception
It is sometimes assumed by Travel Retail executives that the bulk of visitors to Hainan Island arrive by air. This is a misconception.
Hain.....
Last Week: European Recovery Continues
Based on the total number of flights for airports in Europe for the week ending Friday last, the 21st August:
✓ departures and arrivals had r.....
July Internationals; Top 10 Reporting Airports
July’s top ten international PAX performers are, without exception, European for the reasons that:
✓ there is a recovery of sorts.....
July Passenger Actuals Double in a Month
July passenger actuals for 288 airports, covering both international and domestic passenger flows, are now available on the Air4casts’ servers.....
Hainan: Impressive July Performance
With Hainan Island’s duty free shopping spend in the first week of July reaching USD 64 million, Air4casts examines the latest July travel trend.....
Recovery Forecasts; The European Summer Season
With governments working hard to establish safe air corridors to allow tourists to travel to their summer destinations, and with Ryanair announcing a .....
China International Recovery Setback
In response to announcements by national airlines that they intended a rapid return to fuller international schedules, the Chinese Civil Aviation Auth.....
China Daily; May Data Confirms the Recovery
The latest passenger numbers, for 12 May and principally domestic passengers, show that the recovery is continuing even after the excitement of the ho.....
China Recovery Watch; May Day Holiday Air Travel Performance
Daily travel data just released from the Chinese government pinpoints what actually happened over the May Day holiday period.
The focus is .....
South Korea in April: A Single Bright Spot
Airport passenger actuals for the period ending 28 April do not yet quite complete the month but they are a sufficient indicator of the present state .....
China Recovery Watch; May Day Recovery Good News
Data just released by Ctrip confirms the expected/hoped for boost in travel demand.
It goes without saying that the continuing limita.....
March Airport Actuals: Domestic Focus
It is all too evident that, for international passenger numbers at least, the March actuals are simply one step away from an April which is as close t.....
South Korean Domestic Market in April
There is life still in the important South Korean domestic/leisure market.
Battered certainly by the ramifications of Coronavirus and.....
Coronavirus Airport Rankings
The Air4casts Coronavirus module updates the 2020 monthly forecasts by airport and nationality every day to take into account each new hard piece of d.....
COVID-19; Today’s Airport Passenger Updates
Today’s Coronavirus briefing focuses on two crucial crisis data strands
✓ hard February airport passenger data and
✓ t.....
The Coronavirus and International Air Travel
Today’s Air4casts analysis examines the possible impact of the Coronavirus using the evidence of the effects of previous and similar viral o.....
Chinese New Year Travel - What a Difference a Year Makes
Today’s Air4casts analysis covers the fastest growing foreign terminals for Chinese air travellers over the peak 15 day New Year holiday per.....
Mixed Chinese Travel Messages in the Final Quarter of 2019
Today's client exclusive analysis focuses on the striking Chinese destination performance extremes now in evidence for the final.....
Routes
Robust Traffic Growth in January
Today's Air4casts bulletin focuses on the January numbers. Monthly passenger actuals direct from the airports are uploaded daily to the Air4cast.....
China and the USA: Premium/Luxury Travel in July
Premium travel is massively lower than it should be, is obviously disproportionally down on the comparable month in 2019 and is not to be explained in.....
Two October Setbacks for Travel Retail
The last lingering hope that the Communist Party of China might, in the foreseeable future, move towards a more liberal travel policy for its citizens.....
Air Passenger Forecasts Q4 2022 into Q1 2023
Air4casts is uploading its regular monthly re-forecast for 1500 airports and two questions dominate the short-term:
Question 1: What effe.....
Asia/Pacific: May Internationals
For the 22 countries in Asia/Pacific, May international airport passenger numbers are:
✓ 22% up on April, but still only
✓.....
India: An International Recovery with a Difference
It is the case that destinations in the Middle East have always dominated international flights from India.
This month, and with a recovery record .....
Singapore in December; Traffic Doubles
The latest Singapore actuals for the month of December are recently to hand.
They show:
✓ an increase of 107% on November and
â�.....
US December Surge in Internationals
December reporting from 168 international airports in the USA reveals:
✓ a 22% point traffic increase over the previous month whi.....
US International Traffic: Solid November Progress from 177 Airports
Departures and arrivals for the month of November were up by over 14% points compared with Octoberand it is this strength of travel demand which is fu.....
Air4casts Launches the China Domestic Module
Have you tried our new ChinaDomestic module?
The new ChinaDomestic module has been developed by Air4casts in response to the need for fast and accu.....
Top Departure Terminals in June
Air4casts examines the top terminals in June for both international and domestic passenger departures.
Throughout the pandemic there have b.....
March Forecast Update
The revised passenger forecasts, uploaded to subscribers’ websites today, represent no more than a modest change on the outlook develo.....
Year of the Ox - the Year China Stayed Home
The power of China’s authorities to control mass movement over the Spring Festival period is vividly illustrated by the Ministry of Transpor.....
Middle East October Latest: Strong Growth
Internationals in October: flight data which is available for the first three weeks of the month, indicates a 22% point September to October increase .....
August Air Traffic
Today's Air4casts bulletin reports on some good news for international air travel in August and early September. The data comes directly from the .....
Tracking Daily Air Traveller Numbers in the USA
Today's Chart of the Day from Air4casts examines the daily air passenger count across US airports. Passenger departures are running at a significa.....
Eurotunnel Rapidly Improves Performance
Today's Chart of the Day from Air4casts examines the latest monthly passenger vehicle statistics from Eurotunnel. They show a rapid return to leve.....
Holiday Destinations Boost Recovery
Daily flight numbers for this week indicate a strengthening of the recovery which has been slow to get under way.
There are “high&rdq.....
Hainan: Impressive July Performance
With Hainan Island’s duty free shopping spend in the first week of July reaching USD 64 million, Air4casts examines the latest July travel trend.....
USA Independence Day Travel Down 80%
Daily air passenger numbers from the USA show a significantly less rosy reality than forward bookings suggested in the run-up to the vacation.
&nbs.....
April US Air PAX Obliterated by Coronavirus
Air4casts is the only data supplier in Travel Retail to receive the fast track monthly international passenger numbers directly from the US government.....
China Domestic Recovery Underway
With most of the world’s international air network now in lockdown, latest April forecast is -92% after Turkey and Russia stopped international .....
Coronavirus and the Chinese Traveller Forecast
Air4casts has today revised its China passenger forecasts for the month of February based on the scantest of hard data.
In summar.....
Current Affairs
2025 March Traffic Tracker
Welcome to the Air4casts Traffic Tracker, a monthly update on the latest air passenger data actuals gathered exclusively by Air4casts and Airports Cou.....
May 2025 Forecast Update
President Trump and his tariffs are blamed for much.Most recently and in the European national press, which really should have known better, he has be.....
Canadians Drive the Canada/USA Travel Decline
New data from Air4casts for March highlight the continuing fall-out of US/Canada tensions and their impact on travel between the two countries. M.....
April 2025 Forecast Update
The forecast update, uploaded for clients today, makes no explicit reference to the possible travel effects of increasing trade tariffs on manufacture.....
Canada's Land Arrivals in Freefall
The dramatic effect on Canadian border stores of tariffs and annexation threats can now be seen in February’s official land border crossings from th.....
Tears Before Bedtime
On Feb 11 Tui reported a slowdown in European bookings which was enough to drive its share price down by 11% points. The Company's rationale cont.....
Robust Traffic Growth in January
Today's Air4casts bulletin focuses on the January numbers. Monthly passenger actuals direct from the airports are uploaded daily to the Air4cast.....
Are We All Trumpians Now? Massive UK Airport Expansion Signalled
An administration with a public commitment to growth, and still struggling to find its feet, has announced support for: - the mythical third runw.....
DFNI Exclusive: Chinese New Year domestic travel set to break all records
Click here to read the full article on DFNI.Alternatively, you can read on below.The latest edition of the Traveller Insights Series, produced exclusi.....
Mixed Messages from China
October is a month of mixed signals in China for retail sales in the important travel retail product sectors. The central message is one of higher spe.....
October Forecast Update: Looking to the Future
The latest forecast uploaded to clients' servers today are broadly in line with the outlook generated a month ago. In summary and for the full ye.....
The US Land Border Market in July
The July data for US land borders, just released, shows that some 21 million people entered the country over land during the month which in broad term.....
India; Caution Would not go Amiss
Indian international passenger numbers in July, recorded not estimated from the country's 26 international airports, were 8.2% up on 2023 and 10.4% ah.....
3.7 Million Chinese Citizens Visited Hong Kong in August
Released today, the August data for the arrival of Chinese citizens into Hong Kong, when compared with 2023, shows a 31% increase in air passengers an.....
China Airports; Appreciably Better in July
After the disappointments of May and June the July results for China's international airports make much better reading. International Passengers .....
July Forecast Update: an Asia/Pacific Recovery?
In the latest forecast update now available to subscribers there will necessarily be the same subscriber focus on events and developments in the Asia/.....
USA Market Visitor Profile: Is the Indian Visitor Hype Just That?
Air4casts’ second half tourism outlook for the USA focuses on visitors from the Asia/Pacific region.
It is certainly the case that tourists f.....
May Forecast Update
Two features are important in this most recent forecast update which has been uploaded for clients today.
The 2019 Recovery Benchmark
.....
December Traffic: Mixed Messages at the Close of the Year
The Air4casts data service focuses on December data from the airlines and airports.
Ryanair and Wizz Air Surge Ahead of 2019
.....
The Luxury Traveller in First Class
While any announcement of the death of First Class travel is premature, there are certainly challenges ahead.
✓ the longer-term con.....
The Luxury Traveller: South Koreans Spend Most
According to a recent study by Morgan Stanley South Koreans are now the world’s biggest spenders on luxury goods.
The inv.....
Forecast Update May 2023
The pace of recovery, and especially in Asia/Pacific, is certainly accelerating as the forecast to forecast comparison indicates:
â�.....
Almost 200 March Airports Beat 2019
With March 2023 passenger actuals from over 600 airports already declared, today’s traffic bulletin looks at how they performed against 2019, wi.....
Tracking the Chinese Traveller
With Chinese outbound travel gaining strength Air4casts will, over the coming weeks, analyse each of the key Chinese destination markets.
.....
Forecast Update February 2023
Today’s update, and looking primarily at the full year 2024, is hardly different from the projections developed a month ago and when those proje.....
The China International Recovery; January Latest
The recovery is happening but is best described as restrained.
Departing Flights to Sunday 22 January
The latest data for internatio.....
China’s Domestic Travel Takes Off
What a difference a week makes. While international air travel out of China has remained quiet since the 8th January Covid rules relaxation, dom.....
Hainan Now in Real Recovery Mode
Subscribers to the Air4casts ChinaDomestic module are avid watchers of our weekly air passenger numbers from the island’s biggest airport, Haiko.....
October International PAX - Asia/Pacific and the USA
Over 1000 airports are now on the Air4casts system with October PAX actuals. Today’s traffic bulletin examines the contrasting internation.....
Changes in China Policy: Hong Kong Flight Schedules
This week Air4casts is reporting on five important traffic indicators:
#1 to Watch; Daily Domestic Travel - Yesterday
#2 to Watch; Hong Kong Flight .....
Changes in China Policy; Watch Out for Five Indicators
For the next four days Air4casts will be exploring five important traffic indicators which, taken together and separately, may be interpreted as indic.....
Hainan and Macau Beat the Golden Week Trend
While many regions in China experienced muted domestic air travel levels last week there is better news from both Hainan and Macau.
Overa.....
Japan’s Changing Airport Nationality Mix
From 11 October foreign tourists will again be able to visit Japan without a visa and without using a travel agency. Today’s Air4casts bulletin .....
Changing Traveller Demographics
Outbound air travellers in many countries are exhibiting significant demographic changes compared to pre-pandemic 2019.
Today&rsqu.....
Forecast Update September 2022
The latest September forecast updates have now been uploaded to client sites. Forecast to forecast there are changes, subtle for some airports and in .....
The Global Recovery: International Passengers
August data confirms the slowdown in the post Covid recovery:
✓ internationals started the year on just 39% of 2019
✓.....
Forecast Update August 2022
The latest monthly forecasts have today been uploaded to client sites.
Europe and North America This Year and Next
The rate of recover.....
European Summer: June Data Points the Way
Almost 300 European airports have so far declared their June passenger results.
They are 13% points higher than in May prompting the im.....
Asia/Pacific: May Internationals
For the 22 countries in Asia/Pacific, May international airport passenger numbers are:
✓ 22% up on April, but still only
✓.....
Asia/Pacific April International Recovery Index
Hard evidence for an international recovery across airports in Asia/Pacific is growing monthly.
The market is two-speed:
✓ in .....
March Traffic Update
Today Air4casts has March departure and arrival data for 557 airports across the six regions. Taking international and domestic passengers together th.....
US Question: Is Long-Haul Back?
US Question: Is Long-Haul Back?
The strength of US demand for travel to leisure destinations throughout Latin America is well documented. The state.....
Russia Forecast Update
The international and domestic forecasts for all Russian departures and arrivals have again been revised downward.
.....
Forecast Update March 2022
The latest monthly forecasts for almost 1600 global airports and 200 travelling nationalities have today been uploaded to client sites.
Notwithstan.....
Ukraine - The March Downsides
In all of the misery and chaos that is Ukraine it is perhaps timely to enquire as to the possible effects on air travel in the short-term and specific.....
Recovery USA: International Focus
December data, available through Air4casts, for 175 international airports in the USA shows passenger levels at 63% of the 2019 level.
Th.....
Omicron Flight Cancellations: Apparent or Real?
Over the holiday period there was a surge in breathless press reports, many of them beginning in the USA, pointing to a an unprecedented level of flig.....
Delhi Breaks the Asia/Pacific Mould
Since the month of July Delhi’s international passengers have been on a steady and welcome upward path.
Since the middle .....
Air4casts ChinaDomestic Webinar Is Online
Air4casts' China Domestic data webinar is now available for view in the link below.
Click Here.
Happy watching!
A Week is a Long Time in the Travel Business
There is a tiny body of executives within the the subscriber community which is exercised by changes to the forecasts. Perhaps missing the point that .....
Dubai Posts Highest PAX Numbers in 18 Months
In an encouraging sign of the gathering pace of recovery Dubai airport’s September PAX were the highest since the start of the pandemic.
&nbs.....
Latest September Forecast Update
The latest September forecasts have today been uploaded to client sites.
Ryanair, for the month of October, is forecasting to sel.....
The Weekly China Report
This week’s Hainan report has been updated with the latest weekly Haikou Meilan airport passenger data for the week ended Wednesday 21 July .....
Latest Forecast Review
The latest forecasts for over 1500 airports have today been uploaded to client websites. This briefing examines the latest outlook by region.
&.....
Chinese Air PAX up 745% in 15 Days
What a difference two weeks makes. On 12th February China’s airports handled just 162 thousand passengers, a decrease of 90% points on the l.....
Will Vaccinations Hold the Key?
Hard to argue that they will not but harder still to predict the sorts of release mechanisms which will exist and where.
It is quite possib.....
The Risks of Using Inflated Travel Data
Today’s Air4casts Recovery Briefing video looks at the importance of the weekly and monthly passenger actuals that come direct from the airp.....
Air Travel Trends in 2021
The answers to just two simple questions will say it all:
✓ how strong will any recovery be next year and
✓ under what c.....
US International Air Departures on the Rise Again
September international air passenger traffic from every US airport is now available to Air4casts and it is showing the lowest rate of decline since t.....
US August Internationals Up 24% on July
The US August data set is a substantial 159 international airports.
It indicates that the recovery which was well under way in July has now.....
Tracking Daily Air Traveller Numbers in the USA
Today's Chart of the Day from Air4casts examines the daily air passenger count across US airports. Passenger departures are running at a significa.....
China International Recovery Setback
In response to announcements by national airlines that they intended a rapid return to fuller international schedules, the Chinese Civil Aviation Auth.....
China Daily; May Data Confirms the Recovery
The latest passenger numbers, for 12 May and principally domestic passengers, show that the recovery is continuing even after the excitement of the ho.....
South Korea in April: A Single Bright Spot
Airport passenger actuals for the period ending 28 April do not yet quite complete the month but they are a sufficient indicator of the present state .....
March Airport Actuals: Domestic Focus
It is all too evident that, for international passenger numbers at least, the March actuals are simply one step away from an April which is as close t.....
China Recovery Watching
Today's Air4casts bulletin analyses the domestic and international March airport passenger counts from China's top airports.
.....
China Domestic Recovery Watch; Hotel Occupancy
Hotel occupancy rates are one of the best available weekly indicators of any recovery in Chinese domestic travel and this summary provides an invaluab.....
COVID-19; Today’s Airport Passenger Updates
Today’s Coronavirus briefing focuses on two crucial crisis data strands
✓ hard February airport passenger data and
✓ t.....
COVID-19 Spread; Implications for Travel Retail
There are today over 60 thousand confirmed cases worldwide which must necessarily prompt questions about the rate of spread in the coming days and abo.....
Travelling Nationalities
May 2025 Forecast Update
President Trump and his tariffs are blamed for much.Most recently and in the European national press, which really should have known better, he has be.....
Canada's Land Arrivals in Freefall
The dramatic effect on Canadian border stores of tariffs and annexation threats can now be seen in February’s official land border crossings from th.....
Tears Before Bedtime
On Feb 11 Tui reported a slowdown in European bookings which was enough to drive its share price down by 11% points. The Company's rationale cont.....
Robust Traffic Growth in January
Today's Air4casts bulletin focuses on the January numbers. Monthly passenger actuals direct from the airports are uploaded daily to the Air4cast.....
DFNI Exclusive: The Luxury Indian Traveller
Click here to read our exclusive article with DFNI on the Luxury Indian Traveller.Alternatively you can read on below.As we celebrate Diwali season, i.....
DFNI Exclusive: The Rise and Rise of the American Traveller
Click here to read our exclusive article with DFNI on the American traveller.Alternatively you can read on below.One of the most important travel reco.....
Mixed Messages from China
October is a month of mixed signals in China for retail sales in the important travel retail product sectors. The central message is one of higher spe.....
Sunglasses Category Retail Reach
One of the key inputs to any business plan is passenger reach by travel retailer.In our November Sunglasses category bulletin Air4casts examines the f.....
Reviewing the International Recovery
Uploaded to client sites today, a scan of the top 100 international countries indicates that 39 of them will fail to push their full year 2024 passeng.....
3.7 Million Chinese Citizens Visited Hong Kong in August
Released today, the August data for the arrival of Chinese citizens into Hong Kong, when compared with 2023, shows a 31% increase in air passengers an.....
Kicking Forecasters is Fun
And especially so when they dare to be specific about recoveries.
First over the top at the end of last year was ACI [Airports Council In.....
USA Market Visitor Profile: Is the Indian Visitor Hype Just That?
Air4casts’ second half tourism outlook for the USA focuses on visitors from the Asia/Pacific region.
It is certainly the case that tourists f.....
Almost There - South Korea Hits 96% of 2019
With South Korea’s March airport passenger actuals already uploaded for clients in the daily updated Airports 1500 module, today’s Air4cas.....
The Affluent Chinese Traveller Survey
Back after the Covid years, the Air4casts quarterly rolling survey of 1000 affluent Chinese travellers returned in full in Quarter 4 of last year to t.....
December Traffic: Mixed Messages at the Close of the Year
The Air4casts data service focuses on December data from the airlines and airports.
Ryanair and Wizz Air Surge Ahead of 2019
.....
The September Forecast Predictions
There remain two areas of uncertainty in the forecast revisions which have been uploaded today.
What is Happening in China
The rate of.....
Female Chinese Shoppers Return to South Korea
This was certainly the case in May where the latest inbound visitor numbers show a clear return in both Chinese and Japanese visitors to the pre-pande.....
The Luxury Shopper 2023 : Premium Chinese Travellers
Next month the number of international, passengers holding premium class tickets, that is Business or First, and departing from airports on the Chines.....
The Luxury Traveller: South Koreans Spend Most
According to a recent study by Morgan Stanley South Koreans are now the world’s biggest spenders on luxury goods.
The inv.....
Tracking the Chinese Traveller
With Chinese outbound travel gaining strength Air4casts will, over the coming weeks, analyse each of the key Chinese destination markets.
.....
2023 International Passenger Forecast
There is growing excitement about the prospects for an accelerated recovery in Asia/Pacific international traffic.
In the case of Hong Ko.....
October International PAX - Asia/Pacific and the USA
Over 1000 airports are now on the Air4casts system with October PAX actuals. Today’s traffic bulletin examines the contrasting internation.....
Changes in China Policy: Hong Kong Flight Schedules
This week Air4casts is reporting on five important traffic indicators:
#1 to Watch; Daily Domestic Travel - Yesterday
#2 to Watch; Hong Kong Flight .....
Hong Kong Gears Up for Travel Surge
With mandatory hotel quarantine for arrivals to Hong Kong now a thing of the past today’s Air4casts bulletin examines the fast moving changes to.....
Is China on the Rebound?
Data, published Friday last, produces some very welcome positives.
Daily Flights
- end September numbers show flight departure.....
Japan’s Changing Airport Nationality Mix
From 11 October foreign tourists will again be able to visit Japan without a visa and without using a travel agency. Today’s Air4casts bulletin .....
August Fast Track European Airports
As of 13 September 140 European airports have already declared their August international PAX numbers. Clients can access them in the Airports 1500 mo.....
Hainan’s Welcome June Rally
Just in from the island’s largest airport, Haikou Meilan, the June weekly numbers speak for themselves:
✓ this week passe.....
China’s June Revival
After 3 months of rapid decline China’s domestic air travel market is beginning to emerge from its lockdown induced torpor.
Daily d.....
US Internationals: May Actuals
Because US airports are now among the fastest in the world to declare their international actuals:
✓ in fact data for 174 May air.....
India: An International Recovery with a Difference
It is the case that destinations in the Middle East have always dominated international flights from India.
This month, and with a recovery record .....
Air4casts iPhone App Update
Download the latest version of the Air4casts iPhone app today! The Air4casts Infographics Premium app has just been updated with beautiful.....
The China Forecast Options: International Passengers
It may just be that the Winter Olympics have brought to the forefront of minds the timing of any relaxation in the restrictions on China International.....
Recovery USA: International Focus
December data, available through Air4casts, for 175 international airports in the USA shows passenger levels at 63% of the 2019 level.
Th.....
US December Surge in Internationals
December reporting from 168 international airports in the USA reveals:
✓ a 22% point traffic increase over the previous month whi.....
Air4casts ChinaDomestic Webinar Is Online
Air4casts' China Domestic data webinar is now available for view in the link below.
Click Here.
Happy watching!
Almost 70% of Europeans plan to travel by the end of January 2022
This latest consumer survey of 6000 respondents highlights the strength of demand for both domestic and intra-regional travel in Europe.
.....
Chinese Outbound Travel Timeline
With China's international outbound air travel continuing to be at a standstill, today's Air4casts Chart of the Day pinpoints the key governme.....
Alcohol Sales Increase by 87% Points
Retail sales in July demonstrated excellent yoy growth. Sales of Alcohol and Tobacco increased 87% points compared with July 2020 and mobile phone.....
China Domestic Air Travel Fragility
In a vivid example of the fragility of China’s domestic air travel recovery, Hainan Island’s largest airport last week slumped 70% in .....
Spain and Turkey Lead Summer Rebound
Yesterday’s international flight departure data confirms, if confirmation is required, the strength of the European recovery.
It is, .....
March Latest Actuals
Air4casts has, to date, recorded March passenger actuals from 550 airports around the world which, for the moment is dominated by China whose mass.....
March Internationals on the Up
Today’s Air4casts bulletin looks at March international departures from the world’s largest airports.
Airport actuals are uploa.....
Summer in Europe: The Retailers to Watch
Because anecdotal evidence of moves towards liberalisation of travel in Europe is growing daily, the question arises: which of the .....
Covid-19; the Second Wave and Travel Retail
While not entirely a European phenomenon, it is evident also in the USA, in some countries of Latin America and now in South Korea, the second wav.....
Hainan and Its Best Seven Days
Hainan Island’s largest airport, Haikou Meilan, last week had its best 7 days since the start of the pandemic. These latest weekly passenger num.....
Europe in September
A slowdown is entirely to be expected as passenger numbers signal the end of the summer season.
In a normal year the movement from August t.....
Hainan Island Breaks Post Pandemic Records
On Thursday last we reported the good news that Hainan’s travel numbers were progressing steadily week on week.
Today's bulletin goes fur.....
USA Independence Day Travel Down 80%
Daily air passenger numbers from the USA show a significantly less rosy reality than forward bookings suggested in the run-up to the vacation.
.....
Domestic Air Travel Leads the Way in May
With the global air travel recovery inching forward at a snail’s pace day by day, Air4casts examines a strange new world where the domestic reco.....